Thursday, May 26, 2011

Low interest rates seen sticking around

MARTIN MITTELSTAEDT
Tuesday's Globe and Mail


Interest rates have recently being going somewhere unexpected: DOWN.

At their trough last week, the yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries, the benchmark North American rate, touched 3.11 per cent, the lowest level in six months and more than half a percentage point below their February peak.

Yields on 10-year Government of Canada bonds have fallen, too, and are now virtually identical to their U.S. counterparts.

The sliding rates have surprised many market watchers. With the United States government bumping up against its debt ceiling, inflation ticking upward, and a growing debt crisis in Europe, most expected interest rates to be increasing.

While predicting the future for rates is notoriously difficult, some observers believe that the current low-rate environment may continue for a while. If so, it will mean pain for savers, but good news for borrowers.

A drop in interest rates is equivalent to a sale on the price of money, and corporations are already rushing to take advantage of the easy lending conditions, even if they’re in no immediate need of funds. A case in point is Google Inc., which has $37-billion (U.S.) in cash and marketable securities on its balance sheet, but raised $3-billion from a bond issue last week anyway. Mortgage rates have fallen, too – good news for homeowners looking to refinance.

But lower rates have not turned out so well for some of the market’s savviest players, including Bill Gross, the founder of Pimco, the world’s biggest bond fund. Earlier this year, he sold his U.S. Treasuries, because he thought interest rates were poised to rocket higher, which would drive down prices of bonds.

It’s difficult to fault his logic: only a few months ago, the case for higher interest rates seemed so compelling.

Governments around the world are carrying bloated deficits and massive borrowing needs. In the United States, politicians have yet to agree on any clear path to deficit reduction, despite more than $1-trillion in annual red ink. Meanwhile, oil has been trading consistently around the $100-a-barrel level, thereby lifting inflation, another bond-market negative.

And the U.S. Federal Reserve is no longer putting its thumb on the scale. In less than six weeks, it is going to end its program of quantitative easing, under which it is buying $600-billion in Treasuries to goose the economy. Many bond-market followers believe the Fed’s massive buying binge has been propping up Treasury prices and keeping yields artificially low.

So what has been pushing rates lower in recent months?

A weaker-than-expected recovery is the major culprit. “The global economy, and the U.S. economy in particular, is not on quite as solid a recovery track as people were imagining in the very optimistic days of six months or so ago,” observes Peter Buchanan, senior economist at CIBC World Markets.

A slew of recent statistics underlines that weakness, ranging from the poor state of U.S. home sales to the slowing pace of U.S. manufacturing growth. Meanwhile, the Japanese economy, the world’s third-largest, is shrinking and creating a further drag on global commerce, although few foresee a double-dip recession.

“We’re looking ahead toward a bit of a cooling in economic growth,” said Paul Dales, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, who foresees output in the U.S. rising about 2 per cent this year.

That level of growth won’t be “anything to celebrate but it’s nothing like the recession we saw previously,” he said.

Another factor driving rates lower has been the early May rout in commodities, which dampened some of the worry on the inflation front. In addition, the recent sluggish performance of the stock market suggests that investors are getting nervous and growing more willing to buy super-safe government bonds.

Mr. Dales believes the current trends have room to run, and that rates will surprise to the downside.

He predicts U.S. 10-year Treasury yields could slip to 2.5 per cent in the low-growth, less inflation-spooked environment he foresees ahead.

If growth continues to be slow, lower rates might be staying around for a while.

Mr. Buchanan says the most likely scenario, given the poorer economic outlook, is for the Fed to hold off on raising rates until 2013. He believes the yield on Treasuries will rise gradually, instead of falling further, getting back to 3.4 per cent by the end of this year and to 4 per cent by the end of 2012. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/interest-rates/low-interest-rates-seen-sticking-around/article2032075/

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

What's In The Fine Print Anyway???

Mortgages sometimes have costly or irritating restrictions that you won’t know about unless you read the fine print or ask a mortgage professional.
Some examples:

- Restrictions on breaking your mortgage before the term is up
- Restrictions on breaking your mortgage for the first 3 years
- Penalty surcharge of 1% for mortgages broken within the first 12 or 36 months
- “Reinvestment fees” (on top of mortgage penalties)
- Interest rate differential (IRD) penalties based on an onerous bond yield calculation
- IRD penalties on variable-rate mortgages (usually IRD penalties apply to fixed mortgages)
- IRD penalties based on a costly posted vs. discounted rate formula
- Inability to port unless the purchase and sale take place on the exact same day (which can be hard to arrange)
- A poor conversion rate guarantee
- No refinances during the first year
- No free switches (for transfer-eligible mortgages)
- Amortization limits of 25 years
- Minimum amortizations of 15-18 years
- Restrictions on converting from a variable rate to a fixed rate for the first six months
- No ability to break your “open” HELOC without a penalty
- No pre-payments within 30 days of discharge
- Inability to port across provincial lines
- High administrative fees when porting
- 100% clawback of cash-back if the mortgage is broken before maturity
- Requirement for a full banking relationship with the lender
- No lump-sum pre-payment privileges
- No annual payment increase allowance
- Pre-payments restricted to one specific day a year (instead of any payment date)

And the list could go on…
Keep a lookout for restrictions like this when comparing different mortgages. It’s even more important when sizing up cut-rate mortgages because the lower the rate, the greater the likelihood that a mortgage will be somehow restricted. Just some food for thought.

source:http://www.canadianmortgagetrends.com/canadian_mortgage_trends/2010/09/the-devil-in-the-fine-print.html

Thursday, May 19, 2011

Five steps to scoring a mortgage

Five steps to scoring a mortgage


A variety of factors can keep you from qualifying for a mortgage. The big ones include a low credit score, insufficient income for the size of the loan you want, insufficient down payment and excessive debt. All of these factors are within your control, however. Let's take a look at your options for overcoming any liabilities you may have as a borrower.



1. Repair Your Credit and Increase Your Score

To lenders, your credit score represents the likelihood that you will make your mortgage payments in full and on time every month. Therefore, with most loans, the lower your credit score, the higher your interest rate will be to compensate for the increased risk of lending you money. If your credit score is below 620, you will be considered subprime and will have difficulty getting a loan at all, let alone one with favourable terms. On the other hand, if you have a credit score above 800, you'll easily be able to get the best interest rate available (also known as the par rate). (Find out how your borrowing activities affect your credit rating in The Importance Of Your Credit Rating.)

Measures you can take to improve your credit score relatively quickly include paying down revolving consumer debts, such as credit cards or auto loans, using your debit card instead of your credit cards for future purchases, paying your bills on time every month and correcting any errors on your credit report. However, some flaws, like seriously late payments, collections, charge-offs, bankruptcy and foreclosure, will only be healed with time. (Read How To Dispute Errors On Your Credit Report to find out how to address reporting mistakes.)

In addition to managing your existing credit responsibly, don't open any new credit accounts. Applying for new credit temporarily lowers your credit score, and having too much available credit is also considered a warning sign. Lenders may be afraid that if you have a lot of available credit, you'll take advantage of it one day and adversely affect your ability to make your mortgage payments. (For more tips and techniques to help you rebuild your ruined credit rating, read Five Keys To Unlocking A Better Credit Score.)

2. Get a Higher-Paying Job

If lenders say your income isn't high enough, ask them how much more you need to earn to qualify for the loan amount you want. Then try to find a new job in your existing line of work where you'll be able to earn that much money.

Because lenders like to see a steady employment history, you'll have to stay in the same line of work for this strategy to be successful. This can be disappointing news for borrowers, as switching professions entirely might offer the best chances for a salary increase. However, switching companies can also be a good way to get a significant boost in income. Significant raises from existing employers aren't that common, but a new employer knows he'll have to offer something special to get you to make the switch. (Read Negotiating For Employment Perks for tips on reaching an agreement with your boss.)

If switching companies right now won't be enough to get the raise you need, think about things you can do relatively quickly to make yourself more valuable to employers. Is there a continuing education program that you could complete? If you're a legal secretary, could you become a paralegal? If you're a receptionist, could you become a secretary? A career counselor or headhunter might be able to give you some guidance specific to your situation about how to improve your marketability and how to reach your income goals. (Read Six Steps To Successfully Switching Financial Careers to learn how to make adjustments without starting over.)

Unfortunately, getting a part-time job on top of your full-time job may not provide what lenders consider qualifying income. The part-time job may be viewed as temporary, and since it will probably take you at least 15 years to pay off your mortgage, lenders are looking for you to have long-term income stability. (Increase Your Disposable Income gives you ideas on how to make more money now, which can make a big difference down the line.)

3. Save Like Crazy

The larger your down payment, the smaller the loan you'll need. In addition, the lower your loan-to-value ratio (LTV ratio), the less risky lenders will consider you. Both of these factors will make you more likely to qualify for a loan. Be aware that you may have to reach a certain down payment threshold, like 10 per cent or 20 per cent (with 20 per cent being the most conventional), before a larger down payment will help you qualify for a loan. (Learn more in Mortgages: How Much Can You Afford?)

4. Don't Pay More Than the Bank's Appraised Value

The bank will not want to lend more than the house is worth because they could be on the losing end of the deal, should you foreclose and owe more than the bank could get for it. A 20 per cent down payment also becomes much less valuable if the house is worth 20 per cent less than the purchase price. Collateral value is important to lenders, so it should be kept in mind when making an offer to purchase a property. (Read 10 Tips For Getting A Fair Price On A Home and learn how to make sure your house is worth the price you pay.)

5. Reduce Your Debt

To a lender, what constitutes excessive debt is not a set number - it's a total monthly debt payment that is too high for you to be able to afford the monthly mortgage payment you're asking for. When deciding how much loan you qualify for, lenders will look at what's called the front-end ratio, or the percentage of your gross monthly income that will be taken up by your house payment (principal, interest, property tax and homeowners insurance), and the back-end ratio, or the percentage of your gross monthly income that will be taken up by the house payment plus your other monthly obligations, such as student loans, credit cards and car payments.

The more debt you're required to pay off each month, whether it's “good debt” like a student loan or “bad debt” like a high-interest credit card, the lower the monthly housing payment lenders will decide you can afford, and the lower the purchase price you'll be able to afford. Decreasing your debt is one of the fastest and most effective ways to increase the size of loan you're eligible for. (Learn what to watch for before you find yourself drowning in debt in Five Signs That You're Living Beyond Your Means.)

Playing to Win

Qualifying for a mortgage isn't always easy. Lenders require all applicants to meet certain financial tests and guidelines and allow a limited amount of flexibility within those rules. If you want to score a mortgage, you'll have to learn how to play the game, and you're likely to win if you take the steps outlined here.


Source:Amy Fontinelle,Investopedia.com,Published Thursday, May. 12, 2011 7:02AM EDT
Last updated Thursday, May. 12, 2011 8:26AM EDT,http://blogs.forbes.com/investopedia/2011/03/02/5-steps-to-scoring-a-mortgage/

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Buyer Beware

TD Mortgages To Become Collateral Charges

TD is making a big change with respect to how it registers its mortgages.

Effective October 18, all new TD mortgages will be registered as “collateral charges.”

A collateral charge is a different way to secure a home loan than a standard mortgage. "The terms of a collateral mortgage are outlined in a loan agreement that's not registered," says Invis's Gary Siegle. "With a regular mortgage, the terms are in a 'registered document'."

Effectively, collateral charges allow lenders to change the interest rate and/or loan more money to qualified borrowers after closing, without involving a lawyer.* That saves the borrower legal costs if he/she needs to withdraw equity from their home.

In TD’s case, customers will now be able to register their mortgage for up to 125% of the value at closing. Hence, if one’s property value goes from $200,000 to $250,000, qualified borrowers will be able to withdraw most of that new equity without refinancing.

"If I'm a consumer and I'm told that I can get more money in the next few years without extra cost, I would think most consumers would find that appealing," says Siegle.

The downside comes at renewal. For consumers who want to keep their options open at maturity, this is an unfriendly change. That’s because TD customers will now have to pay legal fees to switch lenders.

Obviously, people switch lenders for many reasons, not the least of which is better rates or features. And, with most other lenders, you can switch your mortgage for free, save for the discharge fee or other minor charges.

From our own informal polls, many industry observers we’ve spoken with view this change largely as a strategy to retain customers at renewal. If this is TD’s intention, they’re definitely not the first lender to think this way. There are various credit unions, for example, that register all of their mortgages as collateral charges. There are also banks that push readvanceable mortgages (which also use collateral charges), for similar reasons. TD itself has used collateral charges with its variable and HELOC products for a while.

For now, it’s difficult to assess the impact of this change. Everyone needs to renew, but not everyone needs to refinance. So TD’s move will benefit some while hurting others.

On the other hand, most mortgagors renew with their existing lender anyway, so the number of TD customers who refinance may be higher than the number of people leaving TD at renewal.

That depends on the term, of course. Someone in 1-year fixed has a low probability of refinancing. So, other things being equal, TD will now be a less attractive option for standard 1- to 3-year terms.

In any event, TD customers need to be aware of both the pros and cons of this move.

source:http://www.canadianmortgagetrends.com/canadian_mortgage_trends/2010/10/td-mortgages-to-become-collateral-charges.html

Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Nine signs you can't afford a mortgage

Nine signs you can't afford a mortgage


Michele Lerner
Investopedia.com
Published Monday, May. 02, 2011 6:56AM EDT
Last updated Monday, May. 02, 2011 10:11AM EDT


While plenty of individuals live from paycheque to paycheque, most consumers know they should be saving money and reducing debt. The recession has drummed that concept into everyone's head as people have watched their neighbours and friends lose jobs and sometimes their home.

Many people say that money worries keep them awake at night, but that doesn't necessarily translate to imminent bankruptcy. How do you know when you are truly teetering on the edge of a financial disaster versus simply needing to do a little belt-tightening?



Here are nine signs that indicate you are heading for trouble and may be unable to pay your mortgage in upcoming months:

1. Late Fees
If you missed a payment or let your bill go past due because you didn't have the money to pay your mortgage or another bill on time, you need to reevaluate your budget. Not only does this indicate an imbalance between your income and expenditures, but it will also ruin your credit score, potentially causing your creditors to increase your interest rate.

2. You Can't Pay All of Your Bills
Every month, you are forced to decide which bills to pay and which bills to ignore. A lot of people opt to pay their credit card bill to stop harassment from the credit card company and to make sure they have available credit. But it is far more important to pay the bills that protect your home first. Always pay your mortgage first so that you will have a place to live. Next, pay for your car so that you can get to work and keep your job.

3. Making Minimum Payments on Credit Cards
In your mind, paying the minimum due on each bill may mean you are keeping up with your financial commitments, but financial experts know that minimum-only payments are a key indicator of financial distress. While this may mean that you carry too much debt, this also means that all your income is barely covering your spending. Take a careful look at your mortgage payment, other debts and your income to get back on track. Paying only the minimum on credit cards will extend your debt for years and amass expensive interest payments.

4. No Emergency Savings
While amassing six to 12 months of funds to cover you expenses, as many financial planners now recommend, may be a monumental task, every homeowner should have at least one month's worth of expenses in the bank. At the very least, you need to have enough money in a savings account or a money market fund to pay your mortgage for one month if your income drops or disappears. If you cannot save that much money you need to seriously evaluate your overall household budget.

5. You Can't Afford Maintenance
Your home needs to be painted and your dishwasher broke two months ago. If you are ignoring basic maintenance because you cannot afford to buy paint or call a repairman, this is a significant indication that you are in financial trouble. Not only does this show that you don't have any emergency savings or a home maintenance budget, but this will also reduce the value of your home.

6. Reduced Income
Money is already tight and now your work hours have been reduced or you have been laid off. If meeting your monthly budget depends on every dime you earn, then even a small reduction in income can be a disaster. Search for a new job or a second job and, at the same time, start slashing your budget as much as you can.

7. Using Credit or Cash Advances to Pay Bills
You are using your credit cards or, even worse, cash advances on credit cards to pay other bills such as a utility bill or to buy groceries or just to have cash in your pocket. This is a strong indication that your spending is outpacing your income and it is extremely expensive. You need to put yourself on a debt management program or perhaps meet with a credit counselor to straighten out your finances.

8. Using Your Retirement Fund
You have borrowed money from your retirement account for your mortgage payment or other debt. This could seriously jeopardize your future financial security.

9. You're Maxed Out
One or more of your credit card balances has reached or, worse, gone over the limit. If you are transferring your balances to new accounts in order to avoid paying the debt, this is a sign of a financial imbalance. If you are applying for new credit cards because your other cards have reached their limit, you are in serious danger of a financial meltdown. While you may be making your mortgage payments just fine, if you cannot control your use of credit cards it can be an indication that housing payments are too high.

While these financial woes can mean that you cannot afford your home, they may also be a sign that your spending is out of control. For most people, the mortgage payment is the largest monthly bill, so they often assume that the size of their mortgage is the problem. If your housing payment fits into that budget but you are having difficulty making your payment, then the issue may be that you have taken on too much other debt. Whether the problem is your mortgage or your other debt, you need to find a way to reduce your spending and/or boost your income before the situation gets worse.

The Bottom Line

Handling financial problems is never easy, but the first step is always to know what you owe. Solutions can only become clear once you have every bill written down with the amount owed, the monthly payment and the interest rate you are being charged. Pencil and paper work just fine, or you can create a spreadsheet or invest in some personal finance software. The important thing is to know where you stand so you can create a plan that will get your money under control.


http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/personal-finance/mortgages/nine-signs-you-cant-afford-a-mortgage/article2003996/singlepage/#articlecontent